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2020年5月4日 星期一

世界是個系統,它的目的是全民健康、福祉;世界失業問題; In China, millions of students brace for joblessness




Revenues from income and sales taxes are collapsing, and spending on health services is soaring
ECONOMIST.COM

Shortfalls have hit local governments across America
Less than zero

Brown 前首相這次訪談很重要,基本上就是這次疫情和各種經濟、社會救濟,都必須全球各國協調、努力、貢獻 (譬如放棄各窮國的債務,讓它們有資源可以抗疫,畢竟,疫情會有第二波、第三波.......)

可惜BBC只選擇熱門話題先披露 (這非他的重點)

Brown: 'Halting WHO funding is act of self-harm by US'

US President Donald Trump must be persuaded to back the World Health Organisation (WHO) by his colleagues in the G20, the former UK prime minister Gordon Brown has said.

He told Hardtalk's Stephen Sackur that the president's decision to withdraw funding from the organisation was an act of self-harm by the US.

Mr Brown said: "To deal with this locally in any country, we have got to act globally. If the World Health Organisation did not exist, it would have to be created.

“It is our duty to try to persuade the Americans that this solidarity is actually in the self-interest."



WORD-WATCHER.BLOGSPOT.COM


egotist, self-seeking, interests, self-interest, self-harm, self-destruction,sunseeker, CPI, wholesale, superrich, mobility水着


Brown: 'Halting WHO funding is act of self-harm by US' US President Donald Trump must be persuaded to back the World Health Organisat...
https://word-watcher.blogspot.com/2010/12/alarmist-unthinkable.html

WORD-WATCHER.BLOGSPOT.COM

unthinkable, alarmist, close, 'manspreading' , it's time to think the unthinkable








In an exclusive interview with the FT, the French president says the EU will collapse as a 'political project' unless it supports stricken economies such as Italy and helps them recover from the coronavirus pandemic: 'If we can’t do this today, I tell you the populists will win.'

FT.COM

Macron has warned the EU will unravel unless it embraces financial solidarity
Member states have ‘no choice’ but to set up €400




法國總統馬克龍接受了英國金融時報專訪,被問到瘟疫是否顯示西方民主制度不及中國專制政府時,他說,不能把資訊可以自由流通而且人民可以批評政府的國家,跟壓制真相的國家比較,他尊重中國選擇的抗疫手段,但大家不要天真地說中國處理得好很多,中國疫情明顯發生了一些事情是我們不知道的。










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美國近月失業人數近4千萬人,中國,可能上億以上

德國《商報》說,中國的實際失業人數甚至可能會高達2億,這當然影響消費。再加上國家高負債,也難以推出巨額刺激方案。


(德國之聲中文網)《商報》寫道:"與12年前的金融危機不同,中國這次不會承擔拯救世界經濟的角色。"
"當時,中國已超過5000億美元的巨額刺激推動本國經濟。這一數字相當於當時世界經濟產值的13%。……'在金融危機中,中國很大程度上支持了世界經濟',柏林學術與政治基金會的希伯特(Hans Günther Hilpert)說道。'這次中國遠不會成為當時那樣的火車頭',他預測說。"
文章寫道,一個原因是失業率高。"週五,中國公佈了最新的失業率,2月升至6.2%,--對中國來說很高。1月還是5.3%。但實際的數字恐怕要高得多,因為中國的統計數據中並不包括2.93億農民工在內,而這是勞動力的很大一部分。"
"'我估計,2.93億農民工至少有10%、很可能更多,因受到新型冠狀病毒對服務業的影響而失業。他們中很多人在服務業就業',北京大學金融教授佩蒂斯( Michael Pettis)說道。他估計,失業人數是中國政府數據的兩倍,這相當於約6000萬失業人口。有些觀察家甚至估計高達2億人失業。而這對消費產生後果。"
文章寫道,中國政府目前對刺激經濟的保留態度,則要歸因於高額的國家負債。"國際金融研究所估計,中國的總債務是國民生產總值的310%。這讓更大筆的開支鮮有餘地。而在金融危機期間,債務負擔要小得多。"
文章寫道,另外一個原因是,"大筆的刺激方案,在目前全球經濟緊張的形勢下,可能難以奏效"。"只有當能發揮作用的時候,中國才會推出大的財政方案",專家希伯特預計。


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孟加拉人民共和國 Bangladesh),通稱孟加拉國:  僅次於中國的成衣製造業幾乎崩潰

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A generation of unemployed graduates could harm social stability

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