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2020年1月31日 星期五

各國機場撤僑都屬大難事:英國武漢撤僑只能撤出83名,顯示困難重重




Canada’s airlift operation had remained in limbo as other countries, including the US, Japan and South Korea brought home their nationals.

週五1.31,首批200名法國僑民乘坐專機返回法國南部靠近馬賽的小鎮,將在那裡進行14天隔離觀察;英國載著83名英國人、27名外國人的包機也已降落在距離倫敦120公里的軍用機場

據悉即將搭乘這架軍用運輸機返回的德國人有100多名,他們當中沒有任何疑似感染新冠病毒的患者。他們將先在德國聯邦國防軍的一個基地進行為期兩周的隔離觀察


取自網頁:

英國武漢撤僑包機很多空位有人稱沒交通趕不到機場




China Virus Cases May Be Undercounted Even With 3,000% Surge



這篇說明為何這幾天武漢等地的疫情統計數急升,都還是相當低估的。
*原文照片有誤,所以我將它刪掉。


World
China Virus Cases May Be Undercounted Even With 3,000% Surge
Bloomberg News
2020年1月31日 下午5:20 [GMT+8]


Actual number is likely higher as doctors struggle to keep up
Employees work on the assembly line to make protective masks at a factory in Shanghai, China.



The number of confirmed cases of the new coronavirus in China has skyrocketed to more than 9,000, surpassing the official count during the SARS epidemic. But the true number of infections may be even higher, as health workers struggle to catch up with the disease.



A shortage of testing kits and overworked hospital staff are straining China’s health system, hampering efforts to accurately track how many people have the pathogen. The result is a hectic and imprecise process that’s creating bottlenecks as health experts attempt to pin down the scope of a disease that has claimed more than 200 lives.



The challenge of keeping up with the tally can be seen in Hubei, at the center of the outbreak.



The province can process about 6,000 tests a day, health commission director Liu Yingzi told a press briefing Wednesday, noting that Hubei had about 50,000 test kits in stock. But with 5,806 confirmed cases and 32,340 people under observation, it’s uncertain if that is enough.

Getting a handle on the numbers is becoming more urgent as the outbreak spreads beyond China’s borders, prompting the World Health Organization to declare a global health emergency. Neil Ferguson, a public health expert at Imperial College London, said his “best guess” was that 100,000 people could be infected around the world, according a Jan. 26 report in the Guardian.

Complicating the situation is the elusive nature of the disease and how it is transmitted, as well as the difficulty in diagnosing it. Evidence has emerged that the disease can be passed by people before they show symptoms, or who may show no symptoms at all.

Growing Sickness

Almost 25,000 people have caught or are suspected to have the virus in China, but there are many more who've had contact with the sick


Source: Bloomberg compilation from health commissions of Wuhan, Hubei & China

All data prior to Jan. 21 is from Wuhan only

Jonathan Yu, a doctor at a university hospital in Wuhan, is on the front lines, testing patients for the coronavirus. Accurately spotting the virus isn’t easy and can take several attempts, he said.

“A patient may be found as negative for the first or second test, and then found to be positive the third time,” said Yu. “It is like fishing in a pond: You did not catch a fish once, but that does not mean the pond does not have fish.”

Another doctor in the city who declined to be identified said her hospital was facing shortages of testing kits to confirm that people have the disease, as well as lacking in spare beds and respirators for patients.

Chinese human rights lawyer Chen Qiushi said in a video posted on social media Jan. 29 that some hospitals in the city of Wuhan don’t have enough kits and are telling patients that severe cases have to be prioritized. Chen, who has expressed anti-Communist Party sentiments in the past, cited interviews with people who suspected they have the virus as well as visits to local hospitals.

There were 9,692 confirmed cases in China as of Thursday, according to the National Health Commission. That’s a whopping 3,000% increase from a few hundred patients just 10 days ago.

Part of that may reflect increased efforts to test for the disease, which means it’s being found in more and more places. Still, a lack of sufficient testing kits to confirm whether people have caught the virus is likely to mean there are more people sick than the figures show.

Undercounting Suspected

The epicenter in Hubei still has most of the confirmed deaths, although these numbers may be undercounting what's actually happening


Source: Bloomberg compilation from health commissions of Wuhan and Hubei



The spike in cases could continue after the Lunar New Year holidays. The incubation period for the coronavirus can be up to 14 days, so the impact of hundreds of millions of people traveling in China during the holidays may show up by mid-February. Zhong Nanshan, a respiratory disease expert who led the research into a treatment for SARS, told local media this week he expects the number of confirmed cases to peak within 10 days.

Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist at China Center for Disease Control And Prevention, downplayed the severity of the epidemic, saying the surge in the number of confirmed cases in Hubei in the past three days does not necessarily mean the situation there has deteriorated significantly.

In an interview with China’s state TV Thursday, Wu said the latest jump was a result of a lack of medical resources in the early stage of the outbreak in the city. Many of the patients diagnosed with the disease in the last few days actually fell ill days before the lockdown of the city, but many of them could not be diagnosed and reported in time.

“Don’t be scared by the numbers in the past three days,” Wu said. “The (real) statistics are far more promising.”
New Kits

China is making moves to improve the situation. Health officials approved two new kits on Tuesday, in addition to the existing four types, according to Xinhua News Agency. One of the two new kits can give results in about 30 minutes, shortening the time needed to diagnose cases, according to Technology Daily.

Roche Holding AG is also producing kits, and the government says it’s streamlining transport access to make sure relevant supplies get through. However, Roche said Thursday it was still having trouble getting its equipment to where it’s needed.

Yu, the Wuhan doctor, said the shortage of virus detection kits has lessened recently, although there is still a shortage of masks, glasses and other supplies.

Because the incubation period for the virus is so long, Yu has been sleeping and working at the hospital, afraid to go home to his family.

“I have not gone home for more than a week,” he said.

— With assistance by James Mayger, Dong Lyu, Natalie Lung, Penny Peng, Grace Huang, Jacob Gu, Claire Che, Yinan Zhao, and Charlie Zhu
UP NEXT
Coronavirus Outbreak: Live Updates for Jan. 31, 2020

各國陸海空軍等阿兵哥在做那些事:日本、新加坡、中國



2 日前 - 武漢肺炎疫情在中國持續擴散,最新的病毒感染統計,已突破6000例。中共總書記習近平近日向解放軍做出指示並強調,目前疫情防控形勢依然嚴峻複……

4 日前 - 一名屬於湖北孝感市的解放軍空軍降兵軍保障部的軍官上周六(25日)確診新型肺炎,但涉事軍官此前曾到訪之地不詳。據香港民運信息中心指,軍人絕……

2 日前 - 內地新型肺炎疫情嚴峻,僅剩西藏尚未淪陷,其中,湖北省武漢是重災區,自上周三(22日)起封城。中共總書記習近平一周內發表至少4次講話,最新指示解放軍全力支援地方防控疫情。有消息人士對《蘋果》指出,武漢封城後市內交通全 ...

2020/01/24 - 這位網友在網路論壇PTT Gossiping 板上PO 出一篇「為何解放軍武漢封城如此低調? ... 哨,然後在城郊設立多個物流中心確保物資供應,再派軍醫團隊進城協助醫院運作跟設置野戰醫院,以及派軍人挨家挨戶發放物資跟消毒嗎?
23 時間前 - 飯菜已經上了桌,宋彩萍在一家老小擔心的目光中走出了家門。 經中央軍委批準,解放軍派出三支醫療隊共450人,大年除夕分別從上海、重慶、西安三地乘軍機出發,支援武漢。三支醫療隊分別從陸軍、海軍、空軍軍醫大學抽組。


----新加坡

WATCH: The Singapore Army personnel are working round the clock to pack 5.2 million masks for distribution to households in Singapore.

----日本


中共政府叫你關廠你就只好關了;中國人不出國觀光的話






About 163 million Chinese tourists made overseas trips in 2018 - more people than Russia’s population.



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It may “slightly” affect the company’s profitability, the finance chief says

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