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2018年7月1日 星期日

西班牙在16強被俄羅斯淘汰後,球員全場表現「無速度、無深度、無靈魂、無熱情」。預測學仍幼稚;DAVID BACH:德國世足勝2014敗2018的管理學分析


西班牙在16強被俄羅斯淘汰後,西班牙體育報章 Marca 頭版以「行返屋企 andando a casa」 (走路回家 walking home) 批評國家隊的表現,球員全場表現「無速度、無深度、無靈魂、無熱情」,組織十分散漫。


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hc:德國隊2018的教練是新任者,表示該國也想避免勝利的陷阱,可是,......
預測學仍幼稚
UBS分析師經過精密分析,預測德國將奪得2018年世界盃冠軍




**** DAVID BACH
要找有潛力的新隊員而非有經驗的老手;
要勇於"失敗" (不怕風險)並有系統地從中學習;
連續3屆冠軍都在下屆的初賽就被淘汰.......
Perhaps, after seeing the third champion in a row crash out in the group phase of the World Cup, the 2022 coach of this year’s winner will learn the lesson: particularly when you have abundant talent, hunger trumps experience. Maybe it’s time for a defending champion to field a rookie team. Then again, given how much managers and organizations struggle with inertia, risk aversion, and success-induced complacency, it’s a fair bet that we won’t see a country win twice in a row any time soon—and that will keep the World Cup exciting!


*****


Four years ago, I boldly proclaimed on these pages that Germany’s World Cup victory had been a triumph of management. While other teams had hoped passion and the raw skill of their superstars would carry them forward, Germany in 2014 had invested in long-term capability building, meticulous planning, an inclusive team culture, and competitive intelligence, while empowering players to deviate from the plan when necessary. The result was not just the country’s fourth star but also a system that was the envy of the (soccer) world and that led the team to enter this year’s contest as the statistical favorite to lift the cup again......


In 2014, Germany lofted the World Cup 🏆, and Yale’s David Bach highlighted some of the management principles underlying the victory. This year, things didn’t go so well, and the German side was eliminated in the initial round of the tournament. But there are always lessons to be learned—even in defeat. via Yale Insights 

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