Why Was There a Broad Drop-Off in Democratic Turnout in 2024?為什麼 2024 年民主黨投票率大幅下降？

 

為什麼 2024 年民主黨投票率大幅下降？
根據對選舉數據的分析，民主黨的投票率未能達到 2020 年推翻唐納德·川普時的水平。



2020 年民主黨取得最大勝利的縣為哈里斯女士提供的選票比為拜登先生提供的選票少了 190 萬張。根據對已基本完成計票的 47 個州的分析，今年全美共和黨最多的縣為川普額外投票了 120 萬張選票。

下降涉及人口統計和經濟。在就業成長率最高的縣、失業最多的縣以及受過大學教育的選民比例最高的縣，這一點很明顯。傳統上對民主黨有利的群體——包括擁有大量黑人基督徒和猶太選民的地區——的投票率也有所下降。

Why Was There a Broad Drop-Off in Democratic Turnout in 2024?

Democrats failed to turn out to vote at the rate they did in 2020 when they ousted Donald Trump, according to an analysis of election data.

Counties with the biggest Democratic victories in 2020 delivered 1.9 million fewer votes for Ms. Harris than they had for Mr. Biden. The nation’s most Republican-heavy counties turned out an additional 1.2 million votes for Mr. Trump this year, according to the analysis of the 47 states where the vote count is largely complete.

The drop-off spanned demographics and economics. It was clear in counties with the highest job growth rates, counties with the most job losses and counties with the highest percentage of college-educated voters. Turnout was down, too, across groups that are traditionally strong for Democrats — including areas with large numbers of Black Christians and Jewish voters.