“THE crisis, decline and even bankruptcy of Huawei are to come. We  are in spring, but winter is very close. Don’t forget that the Titanic  set sail in the atmosphere of hurrah.” Few bosses would be as alarmist  as Ren Zhengfei, but he spoke those words in 2000 at the height of the  technology bubble. He rightly feared it would pop and that it might  destroy the firm he founded. Yet Huawei quickly bounced back and in 2010  became the world’s second-biggest maker of telecoms equipment, with  annual sales of $28 billion—not far behind the leader, Ericsson, with  $30 billion in sales. This year, Huawei, which employs 110,000 people,  may overtake the Swedish champion.
 For Mr Ren there is still a long way to go. Within the next ten years  Huawei wants to become not only a technology leader but also a $100  billion company playing in the same league as Western IT giants such as  Cisco, HP and IBM. 
 Whether China’s brightest technology star makes this transition has  wider implications. It will be a test of how far Chinese companies are  prepared to play the Western game to become global brands. It will also  reveal how willing the West is to let a big Chinese player in—and for  Huawei that is a particular problem. 
          Ask a politician in Washington, DC, about Huawei and the chances  are that he will respond with a description of a sinister organisation: a  company that is supposedly run like a military operation, which does  not respect others’ intellectual property and whose products are heavily  subsidised by cheap loans from the China Development Bank. And, worst  of all, Mr Ren once served in the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). 
 Despite much investment and lobbying in America, the idea that Huawei  is a PLA front and that Chinese spooks use its gear to listen in and  even remotely control things continues to dog the company. As a result,  Huawei remains confined to the periphery of America’s telecoms market.  Last November, when Sprint Nextel, America’s third-largest mobile  carrier, considered awarding a multi-billion-dollar contract to Huawei,  the American firm’s boss is said to have received a call from  Washington, DC, and eventually opted for another vendor. In February the  American government even forced Huawei to undo a minor deal: the $2m  purchase of patents from 3Leaf, a bankrupt Silicon Valley start-up.
 Huawei’s sprawling campus in Shenzhen, across the border from Hong  Kong, presents a rather different image. The multi-storey glass  buildings could be in Silicon Valley. Tired faces in the lifts suggest  long working hours, although the bedrolls next to desks are used for a  nap during the lunch break rather than for nights at the office. At the  campus’s centre sits “the tower of ten thousand engineers”, whose  efforts can be admired in Huawei’s glitzy exhibition centre. The firm  pioneered the SingleRAN, a base station for mobile networks programmable  for different wireless standards. It was also the first to make  easy-to-use dongles that plug into laptops to connect to the internet  wirelessly.
 But in contrast to Silicon Valley, laptops are nowhere to be seen in  Huawei’s huge canteen. Leaving the office with a computer involves  tiresome security procedures—in case it somehow finds its way to the  firm’s crosstown Chinese rival, ZTE, which Huawei recently sued over  patent and trademark violations. In fact, Huawei has as much  intellectual property to protect as any Western technology giant, says  Song Liuping, the firm’s chief legal officer. By the end of 2010 it had  been awarded nearly 18,000 patents, including 3,000 overseas ones.
 Other suspicions about Huawei are more difficult to quieten. In an  open letter to the American government after the failed 3Leaf deal, Ken  Hu, Huawei’s deputy chairman, confirmed that some customers do benefit  from loans from Chinese banks, but he gave little detail. Huawei has  tried to allay fears about security by setting up outfits that allow  customers and governments to examine its equipment. The approach has not  worked well in America, but seems to be accepted in Britain, where the  firm in November opened a “Cyber Security Evaluation Centre” to openly  test equipment to show it meets security standards.
 I did it Huawei
 Still, Huawei can feel a bit like a corporate version of the Chinese  Communist Party. Mr Ren is a charismatic leader. He was born in 1944,  his parents were teachers and he studied civil engineering before  joining the PLA. In 1987, after the PLA disbanded its engineers corps,  Mr Ren started Huawei with 21,000 yuan (then $4,400) of his own money.  He first imported telephone switches from Hong Kong, then decided to  build his own products and spend on average 10% of revenues on R&D.
 Mr Ren’s mission is to help China develop its own telecoms technology  (Huawei means both “China can” and “splendid act”). To achieve this, he  has taken more than one page from Chairman Mao, says Liu Shengjun,  deputy director of the China Europe International Business School in  Shanghai. “Using the countryside to encircle and finally capture the  cities”, is one of Mr Ren’s business strategies. Finding it tough to  sell to carriers in China’s big coastal cities, where state-owned  equipment makers and foreign vendors reigned supreme, Huawei first went  for the provinces. Offering technically advanced but cheaper equipment,  and deploying armies of salespeople, the firm quickly managed to  persuade local operators to buy its products. It then moved on from  there.
 The firm repeated the trick abroad. In Europe, for instance, the  Russian government was the first customer. Contracts in eastern Europe  followed, with cash-strapped operators welcoming a firm that charged at  least 25% less than competitors. And the mobile miracle in Africa might  not have happened so quickly without Huawei’s cheap and robust  equipment.
 Another tactic Mr Ren copied from Mao is ideological education. In  the early years, he had employees sing revolutionary songs. Even today,  the thousands of new recruits hired every year undergo a six-month  course that includes two weeks of cultural induction on the Shenzhen  campus and an internship on the ground, for instance helping to set up  base stations. This is when new Huaweians are supposed to acquire the  “wolf spirit” which is said to drive the firm on. 
 Yet in more than one way, Huawei differs from other Chinese firms. It  avoids speculative investments in property and the stockmarket. It puts  customers first and develops new products in co-operation with network  operators (although it sometimes also makes offers that turn out too  good to be true). And Mr Ren does not hesitate to ask foreign experts  for help. After a trip to America in the late 1990s, he decided better  management systems were needed and ever since has spent up to 3% of  revenues buying advice from Western companies like IBM. 
 In Europe Huawei has now clearly reached the cities. In May the firm  won its first order for mobile network equipment in Britain from  Everything Everywhere, a joint venture of Orange and T-Mobile. Richard  Windsor of Nomura, an investment bank, predicts the market for wireless  networks will become essentially a game of two players: a technology  leader, Ericsson, and a cost leader, Huawei. “Operators need a cost  leader to keep Ericsson honest,” says Mr Windsor.
  This leaves plenty to do for Mr Ren, now 66, before passing on his  command. Even without its various overseas hurdles, maintaining Huawei’s  rapid rate of growth (see chart) is the firm’s most pressing challenge,  argues Stéphane Téral of Infonetics Research, a market-research firm. 
 The reason is that the market for telecoms equipment is shifting. In  recent years, most investment has gone into building networks,  particularly the wireless kind. In this area, Huawei could deliver  exactly what was needed: well-designed cheap equipment. Yet  increasingly, as in most IT markets, it is software and services where  money is being made. At Ericsson, services already generate a third of  revenues, compared with half that proportion at Huawei.
 In software and services it will be harder for Huawei to catch up  than it was in hardware, expects Dan Hays of PRTM, a consultancy.  Language and cultural differences can be big barriers to understanding  the needs of foreign customers. A highly disciplined and hierarchical  organisation like Huawei may be very good at optimising and cleverly  combining bits of technology, but less so at providing high-end services  and writing cutting-edge software.
 No peeping inside
 The biggest cultural barrier to Huawei’s continued growth, at least  in the West, may be its lack of transparency. As customers come to rely  more and more on the firm, they will want to know a lot about its  internal workings, predicts Dan Breznitz, a professor at the Georgia  Institute of Technology and co-author of “Run of the Red Queen”, a book  on innovation in China. But trying to understand Huawei is a bit like  Vatican-watching.
 Who really controls Huawei is still an unanswered question. The firm  says that Mr Ren holds only 1.42% of the stock and that the rest is in  the hands of the employees who own Huawei’s holding company. These pool  their interests in a shareholders’ union which is run by an elected  committee. But the firm does not disclose much about this body, or who  sits on it. Some say that the power rests with members of Mr Ren’s  family. Others argue that the place is actually run by a “shadow  structure” of the Communist Party.
 An even bigger mystery is Mr Ren himself, who must be the most  reclusive boss in the technology industry. He has never given a press  interview—proof, some say, of his great self-discipline. The most  detailed biography Huawei has released is some 200 words in its open  letter to the American government.
 To its credit, Huawei has started to address both its strategy and  cultural problems. As for its strategy, the firm says it wants to enter  the “enterprise market”, selling networking equipment and other types of  hardware to companies other than telecoms operators. And Huawei plans  to move fast, says William Xu, the president of the newly founded unit  charged with this task: by the end of 2011 it will already boast 10,000  employees.
 Huawei also intends to take a big part of the market in data centres  for cloud-computing services and in smartphones. If it succeeds with  smartphones, Huawei could become a household name. It wants to offer  models costing between $70 and $200—the “golden range”, in the words of  Victor Xu, who leads the efforts to market Huawei’s devices. By 2013 he  wants Huawei to be among the world’s top five mobile-phone makers.
 These moves play to Huawei’s strengths, but adapting its culture may  be more difficult. Like its rivals the firm has spread its research  activities around the world; it now operates 20 R&D centres  globally. It has also hired more Westerners, in particular to work for  its services business. But Shenzhen is still the centre of Huawei’s  universe and non-Chinese employees remain a small minority there. None  have made it into the inner-management sanctum.
 Most importantly, efforts to become more transparent have not got  very far. In April its annual report, which is audited by KPMG, for the  first time named the directors of the firm’s boards and even gave short  biographies. But it failed to mention that one member is Mr Ren’s  daughter and another his brother—a fact that the firm confirmed only  later, adding that both have been senior managers for some time.
 Nor does it help that, as far as Mr Ren’s succession is concerned,  the firm appears to be moving backwards. Most observers expected that a  member of the tight circle of top executives would eventually take the  helm, most likely Sun Yafang, who chairs the board. However, in October  it was reported that Mr Ren was trying to promote family members and has  plans to position his son, Ren Ping, to become his successor. Spokesmen  deny that there are any such plans, but it would not be the first time  in China that rumours have been launched to test the waters.
 The move that would create true transparency seems to be the one that  is still out of the question: taking at least part of Huawei public.  Being a listed company would distract management and limit the freedom  to make decisions, company officials explain. Yet, observes Duncan Clark  of BDA, a telecoms consultancy in Beijing: “The fact that they haven’t  gone public is feeding the suspicions.”
 Huawei appears to want to have it both ways: remaining a culturally  Chinese company, perhaps even family-run, while competing with publicly  traded Western giants. This is unlikely to work. One way or another,  Huawei needs to become less secretive if its long slog is to reach the  destination that Mr Ren is aiming for.